{"id":405,"date":"2020-04-21T03:09:19","date_gmt":"2020-04-21T03:09:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/pophaw.com\/2020\/04\/21\/will-there-be-a-second-wave-of-coronavirus\/"},"modified":"2025-01-20T23:55:33","modified_gmt":"2025-01-21T07:55:33","slug":"y-aura-t-il-une-deuxieme-vague-de-coronavirus","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/pophaw.com\/fr\/y-aura-t-il-une-deuxieme-vague-de-coronavirus\/","title":{"rendered":"Y aura-t-il une deuxi\u00e8me vague de coronavirus ?"},"content":{"rendered":"<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\">\r\n<p><strong>Alors que les pays assouplissent leurs mesures de confinement, il est \u00e0 craindre que les populations restent tr\u00e8s vuln\u00e9rables.<\/strong><\/p>\r\n<\/blockquote>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Alors que de plus en plus de pays pr\u00e9voient d'assouplir les restrictions impos\u00e9es en raison du coronavirus, mais que le Premier ministre britannique, Boris Johnson, et la chanceli\u00e8re allemande, Angela Merkel, s'inqui\u00e8tent du risque de r\u00e9surgence ou de seconde vague, voici ce que nous savons du reste du monde sur le risque de r\u00e9apparition du Covid-19.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Y aura-t-il une deuxi\u00e8me vague ?<\/strong> <strong>?<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Les \u00e9pid\u00e9mies de maladies infectieuses se comportent de diff\u00e9rentes mani\u00e8res, mais la pand\u00e9mie de grippe de 1918, qui a tu\u00e9 plus de 50 millions de personnes, est consid\u00e9r\u00e9e comme un exemple cl\u00e9 de pand\u00e9mie qui s'est produite en plusieurs vagues, la derni\u00e8re \u00e9tant plus grave que la premi\u00e8re. Ce ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne s'est reproduit - quoique de fa\u00e7on plus mod\u00e9r\u00e9e - lors des pand\u00e9mies de grippe ult\u00e9rieures.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Les autres pand\u00e9mies de grippe, notamment celles de 1957 et de 1968, ont toutes connu plusieurs vagues. La pand\u00e9mie de grippe A H1N1 de 2009 a d\u00e9but\u00e9 en avril et a \u00e9t\u00e9 suivie, aux \u00c9tats-Unis et dans tout l'h\u00e9misph\u00e8re nord, d'une deuxi\u00e8me vague \u00e0 l'automne.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-large\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-8841\" src=\"https:\/\/pophaw.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/man-in-yellow-protective-suit-holding-a-newspaper-3951350-683x1024-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" width=\"683\" height=\"1024\" srcset=\"https:\/\/pophaw.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/man-in-yellow-protective-suit-holding-a-newspaper-3951350-683x1024-1.jpg 683w, https:\/\/pophaw.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/man-in-yellow-protective-suit-holding-a-newspaper-3951350-683x1024-1-600x900.jpg 600w, https:\/\/pophaw.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2020\/04\/man-in-yellow-protective-suit-holding-a-newspaper-3951350-683x1024-1-200x300.jpg 200w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 683px) 100vw, 683px\" \/><\/figure>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>La question de savoir comment et pourquoi les \u00e9pid\u00e9mies \u00e0 vagues multiples se produisent, et comment les vagues d'infection suivantes peuvent \u00eatre \u00e9vit\u00e9es, est devenue un \u00e9l\u00e9ment essentiel des \u00e9tudes de mod\u00e9lisation \u00e9pid\u00e9miologique et de la pr\u00e9paration aux pand\u00e9mies, qui ont port\u00e9 sur tous les aspects, du comportement social et de la politique de sant\u00e9 \u00e0 la vaccination et \u00e0 la constitution d'une immunit\u00e9 communautaire, \u00e9galement connue sous le nom d'immunit\u00e9 de troupeau.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Si les deuxi\u00e8mes vagues et les deuxi\u00e8mes pics au cours d'une pand\u00e9mie sont techniquement diff\u00e9rents, le probl\u00e8me est essentiellement le m\u00eame : la maladie revient en force.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>Existe-t-il des preuves de la r\u00e9apparition du coronavirus ailleurs ?<\/strong><\/h3>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Cette situation est surveill\u00e9e de tr\u00e8s pr\u00e8s. En l'absence de vaccin et d'immunit\u00e9 g\u00e9n\u00e9ralis\u00e9e contre la nouvelle maladie, l'exp\u00e9rience de Singapour, qui a connu une r\u00e9surgence soudaine des infections alors qu'il avait \u00e9t\u00e9 f\u00e9licit\u00e9 pour sa gestion pr\u00e9coce de l'\u00e9pid\u00e9mie, est un signal d'alarme.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Bien que Singapour ait mis en place un solide syst\u00e8me de recherche des contacts pour l'ensemble de sa population, la maladie est r\u00e9apparue dans les dortoirs exigus utilis\u00e9s par des milliers de travailleurs \u00e9trangers, avec des installations d'hygi\u00e8ne inad\u00e9quates et des cantines communes.<\/p>\r\n\r\n\r\n\r\n<p>Avec 1 426 nouveaux cas signal\u00e9s lundi et neuf dortoirs - dont le plus grand accueille 24 000 hommes - d\u00e9clar\u00e9s unit\u00e9s d'isolement, l'exp\u00e9rience de Singapour, bien que tr\u00e8s sp\u00e9cifique, a d\u00e9montr\u00e9 la capacit\u00e9 de la maladie \u00e0 revenir en force dans des lieux o\u00f9 les gens sont tr\u00e8s proches et sa capacit\u00e9 \u00e0 exploiter toute faiblesse dans les r\u00e9gimes de sant\u00e9 publique mis en place pour la contrer.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>As countries ease lockdowns, the worry is that populations remain highly vulnerable With more countries planning to loosen restrictions imposed due to coronavirus but the UK prime minister, Boris Johnson, and the German chancellor, Angela Merkel, concerned about the potential for a resurgence or second wave, here is what we know from the rest of 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